Timing out our chance at rain and snow for Monday night

It has been a Super Sunday for our forecast with warmer than normal temperatures and plenty of sunshine, but there are big changes on the way.

A Winter Weather Advisory has already been issued ahead of a winter storm that is likely to move into the Tri-State Monday night into Tuesday. The advisory goes into effect at 7 p.m. Monday and will remain in effect until 7 a.m. Tuesday for the following counties:

Ohio: Hamilton, Clermont, & Brown
Kentucky: Boone, Kenton, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant, Pendleton, Bracken, Robinson & Mason
Indiana: Ohio & Switzerland

There is a lot of uncertainty with this system and how it will play out. Let's start with what we do know. It will be a sunny start to the day, but a few degrees cooler, on Monday as we only climb to 48°. As we move into the afternoon clouds will build ahead of this system that develops out to our south. The center of the low pressure system will start in the southern Mississippi River Valley but will push northeast into southern Kentucky by the evening. As it does we will start to see rain showers move in. This is likely during the afternoon and evening commute and it will pick up into the overnight.

Overnight the rain will turn to snow. However, the big question will be the timing of the cold air as the system moves through and how much of that snow will stick. The best chance of snow will likely lie in southeast Indiana and southwest Ohio. Mother Nature has blessed us with extremely warm air for the entire start to February and that works in our favor for lower snow impact. Ground temperatures are still into the low to mid 40s, which will make it hard for snow to accumulate at the start.

However, the issue is that snow might be coming down at such a heavy pace in some areas that we could see it quickly start to stick or become a slush into the early morning hours on Tuesday. Areas in the Winter Weather Advisory should expect the potential for 1 to 3 inches, with the possibility to see a few more locally. Make sure to keep checking back for the latest updates.

THIS EVENING
Mostly clear
Quiet
High: 49

SUNDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy
Cooling down
Low: 34

MONDAY
Afternoon Rain
Snow late
High: 48

MONDAY NIGHT
Rain changes to snow

Heavy at times

High: 29

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